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Search · SEO

Link Building: How Google Decides Who to Trust

Links are still how Google decides which pages to trust. Most pages have none, the #1 result has multiples of everyone else, and quality beats raw count. It’s slow, compounding, senior work, not a numbers race.

The honest answer first

Despite years of “links don’t matter anymore” talk, Google’s own documentation confirms link analysis is still part of its core ranking systems. Backlinks remain one of the clearest signals of trust, and most pages have none, which is precisely why they’re a lever.

The honest nuance: links matter less than they did, and they’re overrated by people who treat SEO as a numbers race. Quality and relevance beat raw count, and Google itself downplays them. But less-important is not unimportant.

The pages that win still tend to be the ones with the links, and they keep earning more. Done right, link building is patient, editorial, relationship-driven work, not buying a thousand junk links. Here’s the data, including the caveats.

The opening

Most pages have no backlinks at all.

Here’s why links are still a lever: scarcity. In a sample of roughly a billion pages, 66.31% had zero backlinks. The vast majority of the web has earned no votes of confidence at all.

That means a handful of quality, relevant links can separate you from nearly everyone else competing for the same terms. The bar is lower than the “links don’t matter” crowd assumes.

Pages with any backlinks

How many pages have earned links

34%66%
Have at least one backlink 34%Have zero backlinks 66%
Two-thirds of pages have no backlinks at all, which is exactly why they’re a lever.
Source: Ahrefs (~1 billion pages)
Links and rankings

The #1 result is usually the one with the links.

Across 11.8 million Google results, the top-ranking page had on average 3.8 times more backlinks than positions two through ten, and the number of referring domains correlated with rankings more strongly than any other factor measured.

Correlation isn’t causation, but the pattern is consistent and stubborn: the pages at the top tend to be the ones other sites vouch for.

Average backlinks by position

The link gap at the top

3.8x#1 result
1xPositions 2-10 (avg)
The #1 result carries far more backlinks than the rest of page one.
Source: Backlinko (11.8M results)
Quality over count

Link quality beats raw link count.

Not all links are equal, and the data says so. When Ahrefs measured what correlates with rankings, a page’s URL Rating (a quality-weighted link metric) showed the strongest correlation at 0.39, well above total backlinks or raw referring domain counts at around 0.24 to 0.27.

That’s the whole philosophy: a few genuinely relevant, authoritative links beat a pile of cheap ones. We build for quality and relevance, never volume for its own sake.

Correlation with rankings

What kind of links track with rankings

URL Rating (quality)0.39
Referring domains0.27
Total backlinks0.24
Quality-weighted link strength correlates more than raw counts.
Source: Ahrefs (links-with-traffic study)
The honest caveat

Links matter less than they used to. Just not zero.

We’ll be straight: Google has genuinely de-emphasized links, and its own team says people overestimate their importance. But Google also confirms PageRank, its original link-based system, “continues to be part of our core ranking systems.” Even in a 2026 analysis of a million SERPs, referring domains still correlated with rankings, more so for local searches.

So the move isn’t to obsess over links or to ignore them. It’s to earn quality links as one part of a complete program, which is exactly how we treat it.

I think they are important, but I think people overestimate the importance of links. I don’t agree it’s in the top three.

Gary Illyes, Google Search team (via Search Engine Land)
It compounds

Winners keep earning links faster.

Link building rewards patience because it compounds. Pages ranking #1 acquire new followed referring domains at roughly 5% to 14.5% per month, faster than the pages below them. Authority begets authority.

That’s the case for an ongoing program rather than a one-time push: the links you earn make the next ones easier, and the gap on competitors widens over time.

New referring domains per month, #1 pages

How authority compounds

+5-14.5%new referring domains per month for #1-ranked pages
Source: Ahrefs (backlink growth study)
The people who study this for a living

PageRank is one of our core ranking systems used when Google first launched, and it continues to be part of our core ranking systems.

Google Search Central (ranking systems guide)

I think they are important, but I think people overestimate the importance of links.

Gary Illyes, Google Search team (via Search Engine Land)
How we run it

We earn quality links, the slow, durable way.

Link building at MoonSauce is editorial and relationship-driven: genuinely useful content, digital PR, and outreach that earns relevant, authoritative links, not bought volume that gets you penalized. It’s slow, compounding work, treated as one part of a complete SEO program rather than a numbers race. The kind of links that still move rankings, and keep moving them.

Straight answers

Frequently asked

Does link building still work in 2026?
Yes, with nuance. Google has de-emphasized links and says people overestimate them, but its own documentation confirms PageRank remains part of its core ranking systems, and referring domains still correlate with rankings. Quality, relevant links from a complete program still help; buying volume does not.
How many backlinks do I need?
Fewer than you think, if they’re good. Two-thirds of pages have zero backlinks, so a handful of quality, relevant links can separate you from most competitors. Link quality (measured by metrics like URL Rating) correlates with rankings more than raw count, so we build for quality and relevance, not volume.
Is buying links a good idea?
No. Bought or low-quality link schemes violate Google’s guidelines and risk penalties that can erase your rankings. Durable link building is editorial: earning links through genuinely useful content, digital PR, and outreach. It’s slower, but it’s the only kind that holds up.
How long does link building take?
It’s a compounding, ongoing effort, not a one-time push. Top-ranking pages keep earning new referring domains at roughly 5% to 14.5% per month, so authority builds on itself over time. That’s why we treat link building as a sustained part of the SEO program rather than a quick campaign.
Are links more important than content or technical SEO?
No single factor wins alone. Google’s team puts links outside the top three, and the strongest pages combine relevant content, a sound technical foundation, and quality links. We build all three together; links earn the authority that lets your content and technical work compete.
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